Markov switching models
Markov switching models
1. Scholars
James D. Hamilton (Markov switching model) https://econweb.ucsd.edu/~jhamilton/
Hans-Martin Krolzig (MS-VAR model) https://ideas.repec.org/e/pkr17.html
Changjin Kim (State Space-MS model, LIML MS model) https://econ.washington.edu/people/chang-jin-kiml
Jaeho Yoon (FIML MS model) https://sites.google.com/site/beowulfkorea/
Demian Pouzo, Zacharias Psaradakis, Martin Sola (MS model with CDTP) https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA17249
2. Statistical hypothesis test
Marine Carrasco, Liang Hu, Werner Ploberger https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA8609
Andrew V. Carter, Douglas G. Steigerwald https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA9622
Jinseo Cho, Halbert White https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2007.00809.x
3. Introduction to Markov-switching model
(Normal distribution)
1. Classical linear regression
2. Time Series
1) AR(0) model
code : y0.R
output : y0_R.out
data : gnp82d.dat
2) AR(1) model
code : y1.R
output : y1_R.out
3) AR(2) model
code : y2.R
output : y2_R.out
4) AR(3) model
code : y3.R
output : y3_R.out
5) AR(4) model
code : y4.R
output : y4_R.out
(Mixture distribution)
1) Markov-switching AR(0) model
code : ms0.R
output : ms0_R.out
data : gnp82d.dat
code : ms0d.R
output : ms0d_R.out
2) Markov-switching AR(1) model
code : ms1.R
output : ms1_R.out
4. FIML Markov switching model
Yoon, J. H., & Nawrot, K. A. (2022). Impact of Brexit on G7 properties. Applied Economics, 54(57), 6551–6558. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2022.2072465
Jae-Ho Yoon, Young-Wan Goo & Katarzyna Anna Nawrot (2024). The linked movement of the housing market and stock market in the G7 asset economy. Journal of International Studies, 17(4), 80-89.
https://doi.org/10.14254/2071-8330.2024/17-4/5
Jaeho Yoon, Katarzyna A. Nawrot (2025, August 18-22) US Monetary Policy and the Common Housing Business Cycles in the U.S., Japan and Korea [Paper presentation]. 2025 World Congress of the Econometric Society (ESWC 2025): Seoul, Korea.
https://www.econometricsociety.org/regional-activities/conference-papers/view/282/856
5. References
FIML Markov switching model, 2026
Markov Switching Models, 2026
Introduction to Econometrics, 2026