Markov switching models
Markov switching models
1. Scholars
James D. Hamilton (Markov switching model) https://econweb.ucsd.edu/~jhamilton/
Hans-Martin Krolzig (MS-VAR model) https://ideas.repec.org/e/pkr17.html
Changjin Kim (State Space-MS model, LIML MS model) https://econ.washington.edu/people/chang-jin-kiml
Jaeho Yoon (FIML MS model) https://sites.google.com/site/beowulfkorea/
Demian Pouzo, Zacharias Psaradakis, Martin Sola (MS model with CDTP) https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA17249
1.1. e-book
FIML Markov switching model
https://www.rgsociety.net/academia/ebook/1
1.2. PPTs are created with Google Gemini
Markov switching model with CDTP
2. Statistical hypothesis test
Marine Carrasco, Liang Hu, Werner Ploberger https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA8609
Andrew V. Carter, Douglas G. Steigerwald https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA9622
Jinseo Cho, Halbert White https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2007.00809.x
3. Introduction to Markov-switching model
(Normal distribution)
1. Classical linear regression
2. Time Series
1) AR(0) model
code : y0.R
output : y0_R.out
data : gnp82d.dat
2) AR(1) model
code : y1.R
output : y1_R.out
3) AR(2) model
code : y2.R
output : y2_R.out
4) AR(3) model
code : y3.R
output : y3_R.out
5) AR(4) model
code : y4.R
output : y4_R.out
(Mixture distribution)
1) Markov-switching AR(0) model
code : ms0.R
output : ms0_R.out
data : gnp82d.dat
code : ms0d.R
output : ms0d_R.out
2) Markov-switching AR(1) model
code : ms1.R
output : ms1_R.out
4. FIML Markov switching model
Yoon, J. H., & Nawrot, K. A. (2022). Impact of Brexit on G7 properties. Applied Economics, 54(57), 6551–6558. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2022.2072465
Jae-Ho Yoon, Young-Wan Goo & Katarzyna Anna Nawrot (2024). The linked movement of the housing market and stock market in the G7 asset economy. Journal of International Studies, 17(4), 80-89.
https://doi.org/10.14254/2071-8330.2024/17-4/5
Jaeho Yoon, Katarzyna A. Nawrot (2025, August 18-22) US Monetary Policy and the Common Housing Business Cycles in the U.S., Japan and Korea [Paper presentation]. 2025 World Congress of the Econometric Society (ESWC 2025): Seoul, Korea.
https://www.econometricsociety.org/regional-activities/conference-papers/view/282/856
PPTs are created with Google Gemini
Impact of Brexit on G7 properties
The linked movement of the housing market and stock market in the G7 asset economy
5. References
FIML Markov switching model, 2026
Markov Switching Models, 2026
Introduction to Econometrics, 2026
PPTs are created with Google Gemini
The Markov switching model is a parametric model
The Capital Asset Pricing Model
PDFs are created with Google Gemini